Northern Kentucky University
Challenges of NCAA Reclassification
Institution
Northern Kentucky University
Faculty Advisor/ Mentor
David Agard; Joseph Nolan
Abstract
Colleges transferring from NCAA Division II athletics to Division I face a substantial challenge in competing with bigger and wealthier schools. This study examines the road to success for such transfers across five sports. Repeated Measures Analysis of Variance is used to examine winning percentage across different sports and years. Survival analysis estimates the probability of success at certain points in time. Unsuprisingly, it was found that the winning percentages of the schools prior to Division I was significantly higher to when they transferred. Additionally, the probability of the athletic teams achieving their first successful season (as defined by a winning record) within 5 years is roughly 50%. For Men’s Basketball, the NCAA tournament was also examined and it is noted that the probability of making a tournament appearance within 10 years of transfer is between 30% and 60%.
Challenges of NCAA Reclassification
Colleges transferring from NCAA Division II athletics to Division I face a substantial challenge in competing with bigger and wealthier schools. This study examines the road to success for such transfers across five sports. Repeated Measures Analysis of Variance is used to examine winning percentage across different sports and years. Survival analysis estimates the probability of success at certain points in time. Unsuprisingly, it was found that the winning percentages of the schools prior to Division I was significantly higher to when they transferred. Additionally, the probability of the athletic teams achieving their first successful season (as defined by a winning record) within 5 years is roughly 50%. For Men’s Basketball, the NCAA tournament was also examined and it is noted that the probability of making a tournament appearance within 10 years of transfer is between 30% and 60%.