From Pews to Polls: How Religiosity Shapes Political Alignment in the U.S.

Presenter Information

Lukas A. RameyFollow

Academic Level at Time of Presentation

Senior

Major

Political Science/Pre-law

Minor

Business Administration

List all Project Mentors & Advisor(s)

Dr. Brittany Wood

Presentation Format

Oral Presentation

Abstract/Description

This study examines the relationship between religiosity, the intensity of religious commitment and practice in day-to-day life, and the political identity among U.S. Christians. This study synthesizes multiple theoretical schools: historical alignment, social orientation, secularization, and political primacy. This study is run to address the question: To what extent does higher religiousity predict stronger identification with the Republican Party rather than the Democratic Party? Understanding this link is important to researchers and politicians, as religion remains a central factor in political polarization, voting behavior, and policy preferences. The analysis utilizes the 2024 American National Election Studies (ANES), restricted to self-identified Christians. Religiousity is operationalized as a standardized composite index of service attendance, religious guidance in daily life, and importance of religion; political identification is binary (1 = Republican/lean Republican, 0 = Democrat/lean Democrat), excluding independents, with controls for age, sex, race, education, income, and urban/rural residence. Binary logistic regression is expected to show that a one-standard-deviation increase in religiosity raises the odds of Republican identification. These findings would confirm religiousity as a durable predictor of partisanship and have implications for campain strategists.

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Political Science and Sociology Department Panel

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From Pews to Polls: How Religiosity Shapes Political Alignment in the U.S.

This study examines the relationship between religiosity, the intensity of religious commitment and practice in day-to-day life, and the political identity among U.S. Christians. This study synthesizes multiple theoretical schools: historical alignment, social orientation, secularization, and political primacy. This study is run to address the question: To what extent does higher religiousity predict stronger identification with the Republican Party rather than the Democratic Party? Understanding this link is important to researchers and politicians, as religion remains a central factor in political polarization, voting behavior, and policy preferences. The analysis utilizes the 2024 American National Election Studies (ANES), restricted to self-identified Christians. Religiousity is operationalized as a standardized composite index of service attendance, religious guidance in daily life, and importance of religion; political identification is binary (1 = Republican/lean Republican, 0 = Democrat/lean Democrat), excluding independents, with controls for age, sex, race, education, income, and urban/rural residence. Binary logistic regression is expected to show that a one-standard-deviation increase in religiosity raises the odds of Republican identification. These findings would confirm religiousity as a durable predictor of partisanship and have implications for campain strategists.