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Honors College Senior Thesis Presentations

Understanding Potential Profitability Estimates for Western Kentucky Grain Production

Presenter Information

Austin RandolphFollow

Academic Level at Time of Presentation

Senior

Major

Agribusiness

List all Project Mentors & Advisor(s)

Dr. Naveen Musunuru

Presentation Format

Oral Presentation

Abstract/Description

The objective of this project is to develop a model to predict profitability within the Western Kentucky grain markets, with a particular focus on corn and soybeans. The research was conducted utilizing historical data on production budgets, yields, and market prices spanning from 2007 to 2021. Through the course of this study, a series of simulations were conducted, which generated a broad range of potential profit outcomes. These profit ranges were subsequently converted into Probability Distribution Functions, offering a spectrum of probabilities ranging from 0% to 100%. The resulting outcomes , along with the supplementary simulation data, have the potential to serve as valuable tools for grain producers, helping them navigate external factors that may influence profitability during any given growing season.

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Understanding Potential Profitability Estimates for Western Kentucky Grain Production

The objective of this project is to develop a model to predict profitability within the Western Kentucky grain markets, with a particular focus on corn and soybeans. The research was conducted utilizing historical data on production budgets, yields, and market prices spanning from 2007 to 2021. Through the course of this study, a series of simulations were conducted, which generated a broad range of potential profit outcomes. These profit ranges were subsequently converted into Probability Distribution Functions, offering a spectrum of probabilities ranging from 0% to 100%. The resulting outcomes , along with the supplementary simulation data, have the potential to serve as valuable tools for grain producers, helping them navigate external factors that may influence profitability during any given growing season.